Is the Copenhagen conference going to be a success?

The US congress will almost certainly pass the bill shortly after the Christmas break. This means that the US can make a commitment at Copenhagen and everything can be worked out. Only the signing would be left to a later date.

Any deal needs the United States, however the US congress is not going to have its climate change bill passed through the senate in time. Being the biggest consumer of energy supplies, but also obtaining a large producing industry itself, it is not surprising the US is one of the biggest polluters[[http://timeforchange.org/CO2-emissions-by-country]]. It is therefor it is almost certain that the US is not going to interrupt its economic development for something as 'minor' as global change.  
 
Unfortunetly, superpowers such as the US do not realise that a 'minor' change in temperatures and greenhouse gas concentrations can become a MAJOR issue. Moreover the american people are divided on the issue of climate change as in many other areas so there is no public opinion consensus[[http://www.benzinga.com/press-releases/b53699/global-concern-for-climate-change-cools-off]] pushing for action, congress reflects this. This means that there is almost no chance of having a binding treaty come out of the conference.